THE PITFALLS OF COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT Jack Citrin Professor of Political Science University of California at Berkeley October 17, 200 [Presented to the UC Board of Regents, Laurel Heights, San Francisco, October 17, 2001] I want to thank Regent Johnson for giving a rank-and-file faculty member the rare privilege of speaking to you today. Although these comments are my own, the point of view they express are, I assure you, widely shared on every campus. Admissions is the life blood of universities. Since there are more applicants than available slots, it also is a zero-sum game affecting the life chances of young people. At the highly selective University of California, the admissions process should be founded on the following principles: I. The primacy of academic excellence. II. Fairness, meaning that all applicants are judged by the same rigorous standards. III. Openness, meaning that applicants and their parents know the criteria of admissions and understand how they are applied. BOARS proposes the Regents to approve new policies that eliminate the requirement that at least half of each freshman class be admitted on the basis of academic achievement alone and to admits students on the basis of a comprehensive, holistic assessment of all applicants. These proposals are defective in terms of each of the principles just stated. If adopted, they will lower the aggregate academic quality of students at the University. They will increase subjectivity and bias in the selection process. And they will leave applicants and their parents confused and uncertain about what is expected of them, further reducing the transparency and legitimacy of UC's admissions processes. BOARS' proposal is modeled on what Berkeley has been doing for four years. Yet, remarkably, there has been no critical assessment of that process bearing on the decision to eliminate rather than maintain or enlarge the academic tier of admissions. RATIONALE According to data provided by UCOP, the current policies imposed by the Regents and the electorate have improved the academic quality of the student body at every campus without a reduction in the overall number of minority students admitted. The recent freshman classes at most campuses are more homogeneous in their academic ability than in the past, which is both pedagogically and psychologically a superior outcome. Yet BOARS wants to reverse this trend because of disappointment about the social composition of the students admitted to at least some of the campuses. The objective of comprehensive review is to effect a different racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic distribution of students at UC. It is proposed in full knowledge that there will be some diminution of academic quality as a result. Indeed, if not, why propose the removal of the academic tier. The 1999 report of the UC Davis Admissions Committee is quite forthright in stating: "The inescapable effect of such a policy (increasing the role of contextual, non-academic factors) is to reduce the quality of the admitted class." GUIDING PRINCIPLES OF COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW According to BOARS, comprehensive review is guided by the application of these principles: 1. the ongoing "refinement and redefinition of the concept of merit to make it more inclusive," 2. "evaluating all achievements and performances in the context of the opportunities and experiences available to the applicant;" 3. "the search for applicants who can contribute to the life of the campus and emerge as state and national leaders" The principles articulated above are flabby, vague, and impossible to apply in a rigorous fashion. For example, I have no idea of what a refined concept of merit for a political science or electrical engineering major might be? Evaluating in context means that a 300 point difference in the SAT scores of a graduate of Poway High School in San Diego and Dorsey High School in Los Angeles is dismissed as irrelevant when we are assessing achievement or likelihood of future academic success. In a word, context preferences substitute as intended proxies for ethnic preferences; quality depends on who you are not what you are. I believe that poverty should not be a handicap to attending UC and support generous student aid from all sources. But I do not believe that such background factors should be a positive advantage, outweighing factors more directly linked to academic success. Moreover, putting someone in a situation where the majors they can take are limited by their academic preparation or where they cannot compete effectively does no one much good. Comprehensive review is implemented by the decisions of readers who have no experience teaching at the University and who lack valuable information such as senior year grades or personal references from teachers, counselors or ministers. Whatever the good intentions of these readers, their instructions make it inevitable that over time reliance on objective indicators of merit will be set aside in favor of achieving political targets and goals, much as the erosion of the limited Bakke decision led to de facto quotas. The desire to identify future leaders and men and women of fine character is admirable. Of course there is no evidence that we must sacrifice academic quality to achieve this goal or that we know how to do so. A May 1999 note to Professor Moore from a senior admissions officer stated that Berkeley's readers expressed concern about "the ability to discern who might become a future state or national letter," about what the AEPE committee had in mind when it spoke of "alternative metrics of achievement," and about how using the essay to discern the applicant's "ability to articulate thoughtfully and creatively their own life experiences" would work against non-native speakers. So much for the clarity of the criteria of judgment in comprehensive review. Decades of research comparing the validity of actuarial (quantititative and formulaic) versus clinical (qualitative) consistently show the superiority of the former. Comprehensive review opens the door to subjective biases of both the individual and collective or what Berkeley calls normed variety. The fact that Stanford, Harvard, Yale, Brown embrace comprehensive review is hardly relevant. These institutions have different missions from UC and operate in a different legal environment. More significantly, they are choose among a far narrower band of students at a higher overall level of academic achievement. They have more information about each applicant, have fewer to evaluate, and devote more time to each one. And who knows if they are doing the right thing. STUDIES OF COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW What is most astonishing and indeed disturbing about BOARS proposal is that those recommending changes in the admissions procedures have not done any critical analysis of the likely impact of this and alternative procedures. In their letter to President Atkinson and Professor Cowan requesting permission to abandon the academic tier, Chancellor Berdahl and Professor Moore conclude "we would be happy to provide a comprehensive review of the new process after five years experience." This strikes me as putting things backward. Berkeley has had ample time to conduct such an assessment of the version of comprehensive review it has been employing for the past four years. Yet despite the ease and relevance of a study designed to compare the academic performance and campus contributions of tier 1 and tier 2 admits and the capacity of simulating the impact of moving to a Unitary Score, the minutes of Berkeley's AEPE committee repeatedly state that an assessment of the post-1997 admissions process is "in abeyance." I choose not to speculate about why. But surely the burden of proof should be on those who seek change that will inescapably diminish the role of academic excellence in admissions. CONCLUSIONS In the light of the above, I respectfully recommend that the Regents refuse permission to abandon the academic tier that functions as a mandatory insurance policy safeguarding the academic quality of the University and that you table proposals to introduce the unitary mode of assessment and other redefinitions of academic merit until you receive a comprehensive study of the impact of such reforms on grades, graduation rates and the like. This study should be conducted by an independent panel composed of UC faculty and outside experts. Thank you again for your attention.